Betting Preview for Frys.com Championship
A quite week in store, with no event on the European Tour. Paul Casey, Padraig Harrington, David Howell and Robert Karlsson will resume their enthralling battle for the Order of Merit next week, as the European season enters its final fortnight.
Instead we've got one event on the ever more random PGA Tour in the form of the Frys.com Championship at Summerlin, Nevada.
When Tiger is absent, as he is this week, finding a winner in the States is proving to be a nightmare. Even though last week's winner Davis Love was fairly near to the head of the market, there was nothing in his recent form profile to suggest a win was around the corner. The Summerlin event is played over five rounds, which theoretically should give the class a better chance to dominate, but against that we have seen 500/1 winners Andre Stolz, Wes Short and 125/1 Phil Tataurangi win this event in recent years. Its no surprise to see World No.2 Jim Furyk installed as a short-priced favourite. Jim has a tremendous record on this course, and after a fabulous summer its impossible to create a case against him, but odds of 9/2 are plenty short enough. A model of consistency he may be, but Furyk is no Tiger and has never been a particularly prolific winner.
So really the best advice is to keep stakes to a minimum, and just have a bit of fun. DAVID HOWELL makes a rare appearance this side of the Atlantic, and is a big price at 50/1 considering his status in Europe and the relatively weak nature of this field. The price is no doubt based on his recent injury worries and a poor week at St Andrews. However if the injuries don't hold him back, and you have to think he wouldn't be playing in a pro-am if they were, he would have a great chance here. This event is no more than a glorified putting contest, and there are few if any better putters in the world than the Swindon man.
I'm normally loathe to back David's namesake, CHARLES HOWELL III, as he is one of the most over-hyped and disappointing players on the scene. Since being billed as the next big thing in a country desperate to find some promising youngsters to back up Tiger and give them a chance in the Ryder Cup again, Charles has flattered to deceive more often than not. However, his natural talent is there for all to see and both recent and course form suggest he'll be on the premises this week. He played well when runner-up at the Lumber Classic recently, and has made the top-20 on four from six visits to Summerlin, including 5th and 6th placed finishes. What has been generally been a disappointing season has shown signs of turning around just lately too, with three top-20s from his last five starts.
NICK WATNEY has been on a great run recently, so I'm taking a chance he can keep it up. Watney hit the front a bit too early at the weekend for someone chasing their first PGA title, leading at halfway before a bad round 3. The way he stormed back in R4 bodes well though, and it was his 3rd top-10 in five weeks. Last year he managed an excellent 6th on his course debut, and has shown a liking for Nevada with two other top-10s in the state.
And if we're looking for another three figured priced winner, then BUBBA WATSON must be worth a look. The huge-hitting Watson is quite a prospect, and has impressed many in his rookie season. Following 6th place at the International, Watson's form has held up recently. 31st at the weekend and top-15 on his three previous starts were decent efforts. None of those courses favoured his flamboyant, if inexperienced game. There may well be some improvement to come this week, as his attacking style could overpower these easy resort courses.
Good Luck!
STAKING PLAN
1pt ew CHARLES HOWELL III @ 33/1 (GENERALLY AVAILABLE)
1pt ew DAVID HOWELL @ 50/1 (GENERALLY AVAILABLE)
1pt ew NICK WATNEY @ 50/1 (GENERALLY AVAILABLE)
1pt ew BUBBA WATSON @ 100/1 (BETFRED, STAN JAMES)
Good Luck!
2006 STATS: +98pts
2005 STATS: +49.5pts
ANTE-POST ALREADY ADVISED
VOLVO ORDER OF MERIT
3pts ew PAUL CASEY @ 33/1
1.5pts ew ANGEL CABRERA @ 66/1
1pt win MICHAEL CAMPBELL @ 66/1
Instead we've got one event on the ever more random PGA Tour in the form of the Frys.com Championship at Summerlin, Nevada.
When Tiger is absent, as he is this week, finding a winner in the States is proving to be a nightmare. Even though last week's winner Davis Love was fairly near to the head of the market, there was nothing in his recent form profile to suggest a win was around the corner. The Summerlin event is played over five rounds, which theoretically should give the class a better chance to dominate, but against that we have seen 500/1 winners Andre Stolz, Wes Short and 125/1 Phil Tataurangi win this event in recent years. Its no surprise to see World No.2 Jim Furyk installed as a short-priced favourite. Jim has a tremendous record on this course, and after a fabulous summer its impossible to create a case against him, but odds of 9/2 are plenty short enough. A model of consistency he may be, but Furyk is no Tiger and has never been a particularly prolific winner.
So really the best advice is to keep stakes to a minimum, and just have a bit of fun. DAVID HOWELL makes a rare appearance this side of the Atlantic, and is a big price at 50/1 considering his status in Europe and the relatively weak nature of this field. The price is no doubt based on his recent injury worries and a poor week at St Andrews. However if the injuries don't hold him back, and you have to think he wouldn't be playing in a pro-am if they were, he would have a great chance here. This event is no more than a glorified putting contest, and there are few if any better putters in the world than the Swindon man.
I'm normally loathe to back David's namesake, CHARLES HOWELL III, as he is one of the most over-hyped and disappointing players on the scene. Since being billed as the next big thing in a country desperate to find some promising youngsters to back up Tiger and give them a chance in the Ryder Cup again, Charles has flattered to deceive more often than not. However, his natural talent is there for all to see and both recent and course form suggest he'll be on the premises this week. He played well when runner-up at the Lumber Classic recently, and has made the top-20 on four from six visits to Summerlin, including 5th and 6th placed finishes. What has been generally been a disappointing season has shown signs of turning around just lately too, with three top-20s from his last five starts.
NICK WATNEY has been on a great run recently, so I'm taking a chance he can keep it up. Watney hit the front a bit too early at the weekend for someone chasing their first PGA title, leading at halfway before a bad round 3. The way he stormed back in R4 bodes well though, and it was his 3rd top-10 in five weeks. Last year he managed an excellent 6th on his course debut, and has shown a liking for Nevada with two other top-10s in the state.
And if we're looking for another three figured priced winner, then BUBBA WATSON must be worth a look. The huge-hitting Watson is quite a prospect, and has impressed many in his rookie season. Following 6th place at the International, Watson's form has held up recently. 31st at the weekend and top-15 on his three previous starts were decent efforts. None of those courses favoured his flamboyant, if inexperienced game. There may well be some improvement to come this week, as his attacking style could overpower these easy resort courses.
Good Luck!
STAKING PLAN
1pt ew CHARLES HOWELL III @ 33/1 (GENERALLY AVAILABLE)
1pt ew DAVID HOWELL @ 50/1 (GENERALLY AVAILABLE)
1pt ew NICK WATNEY @ 50/1 (GENERALLY AVAILABLE)
1pt ew BUBBA WATSON @ 100/1 (BETFRED, STAN JAMES)
Good Luck!
2006 STATS: +98pts
2005 STATS: +49.5pts
ANTE-POST ALREADY ADVISED
VOLVO ORDER OF MERIT
3pts ew PAUL CASEY @ 33/1
1.5pts ew ANGEL CABRERA @ 66/1
1pt win MICHAEL CAMPBELL @ 66/1
posted by Paul Krishnamurty at 4:49 PM
1 Comments:
Thanks you for your extremely informative and in depth golf analysis.I have found your blog a useful tool in trying to outdo the bookies!!
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